Toronto Housing Market Reaches New Heights

Toronto Housing Market Reaches New Heights!

June 5, 2007 -- With an astonishing 11,146 sales in May, the Toronto Real Estate market put in its best performance since records have been kept, President Dorothy Mason announced today. "The Toronto Real Estate Board has been tracking the local housing market for over forty years, and there has never been a month that even approaches this level of activity," Ms. Mason stated. "May was up 18 per cent over April, our previous record month (9,452 sales), and also up 18 per cent over May of 2006 (9,434 sales), which now ranks as the third highest sales total recorded."

Ms. Mason further noted that, according to statistics compiled by the Canadian Real Estate Association, every home sale generates about $27,000 in economic activity (for renovations, furniture purchases, and so forth) over and above direct expenditures involved in the transaction. "This means that Realtors® and their clients have contributed over $300 million to the local economy in ancillary costs last month alone."

However, while sales sky-rocketed, price increases were restrained, with the average rising a mere five per cent to $382,787 from the $365,537 recorded during May of 2006.

Breaking down the total, 4,175 sales were reported in TREB’s 28 West districts and averaged $356,836; 2,038 sales were reported in the 14 Central districts and averaged $506,172; 2,323 sales were reported in the 23 North districts and averaged $408,391; and 2,610 sales were reported in TREB’s 21 East districts and averaged $305,168.

NEIGHBOURHOOD CORNER

Brampton

Year-to-date sales in Brampton have reached 3 ,620, up 10 per cent over the 3,296 sales recorded to May of last year. Of these, 2,038 were detached homes, which averaged $354,834, a four per cent increase over the first five months of 2006. Another, 749 transactions involved semi-detached homes, which sold for an average of $273,979, up three per cent over the same time one year ago.

Booming Cottage Market

Luxury recreational property sales will increase in coming months as affluent baby boomers drive demand for upscale product from coast-to-coast, according to a report released by RE/MAX.

The report says the top-end of the recreational market stands to gain most from the aging baby boom demographic as many prepare for their retirement years. Teardowns, custom-builds, and renovation are the result, changing the shoreline of lakes and rivers in 34 of the 39 markets surveyed from Newfoundland/Labrador to British Columbia. Upper-end sales have also affected recreational property values across the board, placing upward pressure on prices, particularly in Western Canada. Starting prices have topped $500,000 in 31 per cent of recreational property markets. Only seven offer waterfront properties under the $250,000 price point.

"Baby boomers are investing in the future from both a lifestyle perspective and an economic standpoint,” says Elton Ash, Regional Director, RE/MAX of Western Canada. “Tremendous equity gains have been realized in recent years as demand for recreational properties across the country swells. Given the aging of the population, this trend is expected to continue for at least the next five to 10 years as baby boomers move through the cycle.”

While building the dream clearly appeals to a broad range of purchasers, realizing ownership is becoming increasingly difficult. Affordability is top-of-mind in many markets. Buyers without the financial wherewithal to ante up are considering smaller lakes and riverfront properties, as well as timeshares and fractional ownership. Even land-leased properties are garnering attention.

Atlantic Canada continues to offer up the best bang for the buck, with the Eastern Coastline, NL at $75,000, Greater Moncton Area, NB at $80,000, and South Shore, Lunenburg County, NS at $225,000. In Ontario, Parry Sound, Elliot Lake, and Combermere attract price-conscious buyers staring from $200,000, $150,000 and $190,000 respectively.

In the West, great value can be found at Lake Winnipeg, MB from $200,000 as well as the Central South Cariboo in BC from $275,000. The most expensive markets in the country, located in British Columbia, Alberta and Ontario, include Invermere starting at $2.5 million; Kelowna at $2 million; Salt Spring Island at $1.5 million; Whistler at $1.1 million; Sylvan Lake and Penticton at $1 million; North Okanagan/Shuswap at $900,000; Comox Valley – Mt. Washington and Fraser Valley (Cultus Lake, Harrison Lake) at $800,000; Wasaga Beachfront at $700,000; Midland at $550,000; Bala, Port Carling at $500,000 to $550,000; and Honey Harbour/Port Severn, Orillia/Lake Couchiching and Port Elgin/Kincardine/Goderich at $400,000.

“Limited inventory levels have contributed to the upswing in starting prices in 54 per cent of recreational property markets this year,” says Ash. “Despite upward pressure, purchasers remain grounded when it comes to buying recreational properties. Very few purchasers are willing to spend more than fair market value.” (CREA 04/05/2007)

Top 10 Hot areas in Ontario

KW is Ontario's 'economic Alberta'

The Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge area is the top place in Ontario to invest in real estate, with the most potential for future price appreciation of any area in the province, according to an investment study released yesterday.

Canada's technology triangle is the "economic Alberta of Ontario" said analyst Don Campbell, head of the research and education firm Real Estate Investing Network.

The area, home to the University of Waterloo and companies such as Research In Motion Inc., maker of the popular BlackBerry wireless devices, is rated one of the most competitive regions to do business in North America, he said.

More than 60 per cent of Canada's population and 40 per cent of the U.S. population is within 800 kilometres of the area, where the average price of a two-storey, three-bedroom home in 2006 was $215,000.

"We are looking for places in Ontario that are poised to go forward, that haven't reached their potential yet, and that still have good upside for investing," said Campbell, a prominent real estate investor who is based in Vancouver.

In the study's second spot is the Barrie-Orillia area, followed by the Durham Region towns of Whitby, Pickering and Ajax. Markham comes in fourth, and Hamilton and Brantford are fifth.

The Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge area beat out Barrie, last year's winner, because K-W and Cambridge are rapidly transforming from a manufacturing base to a more diversified jobs base, representing a buying opportunity, Campbell said.

"You have a wide range of potential renters, anywhere from students to retirees, and continued strong job growth in the Kitchener-Waterloo area."

Campbell, the author of Real Estate Investing in Canada, uses 13 key factors for each area to help him determine rankings.

He looks at whether the average income and population are increasing faster than the provincial average, if there's more than one major employer, and if major transportation improvements are in the works. The $400 million-plus Red Hill Valley Parkway in Hamilton that's due for completion this year fits with that criteria, he said.

"Transportation drives future value more than just about any other factor," Campbell said. "Distance isn't the issue, it's time. No one says I'm 12 kilometres from Toronto, they say I'm 30 minutes from Toronto. It's about shrinking the commute."

Toronto, representing a more mature market, ended up in eighth spot. The economic capital of Canada continues to produce jobs, Campbell said, but certain neighbourhoods will do better than others.

Areas outside the core have been showing the highest appreciation and Campbell feels neighbourhoods such as Scarborough, where the average three-bedroom home costs $325,000, have an upside.

"I've bought in neighbourhoods before that had poor reputations that they didn't deserve – and have done quite well," he said.

He also likes the Armour Heights neighbourhood in North York and the Junction neighbourhood near High Park. He doesn't like condos as an investment.

"The new condo market is a cautionary tale and best avoided due to the huge expected increase in inventory, the sky-high rents necessary to make the property carry itself and the anticipated flooding of the market as soon as the pre-built purchases are completed," Campbell said in the 81-page report.

"Although demand may currently be high, this market is not yet considered a good medium-term investment."

A Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. report released yesterday said housing starts, particularly for condos, were down significantly in March.

Multiple family starts are down 34 per cent year to date in the Toronto area. However, based on record levels of pre-construction sales over the last two years, the CMHC said it expects starts to ramp up significantly in the second half of the year. More than 11,000 condos are scheduled for completion this year and next in the Greater Toronto Area.

Some of the other Top 10 spots according to Campbell include:

Barrie and Orillia: A young community with a population expected to grow by 60 to 70 per cent in the next 10 years. Close to recreational areas, but housing values are less than in Toronto, which is a one-hour commute. A study earlier this year by ReMax Ontario Atlantic Canada said the average Barrie residence appreciated 372 per cent over a 25-year period – the most of any major urban market in Canada. The average price for a three-bedroom, two-storey home in Barrie last year was $288,400.

Durham Region – Whitby, Ajax and Pickering: While a traditional bedroom community for the Toronto area, the region is attracting an increasingly diverse list of local employers involved in automotive, aerospace, plastics and pharmaceuticals. Rental increases are poised to be above the provincial average. The average price of a Pickering home was $300,522. In Ajax it was $267,500 and in Whitby $293,000.

Markham: A strong, consistent performer. Continues to attract employers looking for a more liveable area to relocate. There are more than 900 advanced technology and life science companies in the town. The average price of a three-bedroom home is $425,000.

Hamilton: Steel town is undergoing a revitalization of key areas and showing an entrepreneurial spirit with the start of a major high tech industrial park. Redevelopment of commercial, residential and industrial areas is ongoing, and a new highway this year is a big plus. The average price of a three-bedroom home is $229,670.

Brantford: Joining the list at No. 5, Brantford looks to benefit from the spillover of the opening of a new Toyota plant in nearby Woodstock. A strategic location with affordable housing should see strong growth. Average house price of $294,000.

Brampton: Has the third largest population and the third largest number of workers among the GTA's 29 municipalities. A diverse economy is growing faster than the infrastructure. Average price of a three-bedroom home is $300,000.

Ottawa: When compared to other major centres, Ottawa has one of the most affordable housing stocks in the country. Low vacancy rates for condo apartments suggest rents could see a dramatic increase over the next several years. A three-bedroom home goes for about $403,000.

Oshawa: The area went through economic shock after the announcement of automotive sector layoffs. Downtown re-development will put the spotlight on underperforming areas of the city.

Whitchurch-Stouffville: Low vacancy rates, no substantial increase in rental units planned for the future, and a rising demand for country in the city lifestyle makes it poised for growth.

Source-Toronto Star April 12 2007

Toronto Housing Market Reaches New Heights

Booming Cottage Market

Top 10 Hot areas in Ontario

KW is Ontario's 'economic Alberta'

New Tax ?